Thursday, 12 February 2009

SCOTLAND'S 2009 INDEPENDANCE POLLS.



SCOTLAND'S 2009 INDEPENDENCE POLLS.



1. The following polls have shown support for independence in the past 17 years:



Poll & Date


Yes/Agree


No/Disagree

Mori/Sun – Jan 1992


51%


25%

ICM/Scotsman – Jun 1998


52%


41%

ICM/Scotsman – Jul 1998


56%


35%

ICM/Scotsman – Jul 1998


49%


44%

ICM/Scotsman – Sep 1998


51%


38%

ICM/Scotsman – Sep 1998


48%


37%

ICM/Scotsman – Nov 1998


49%


43%

ICM/Scotsman – Jan 1999


49%


42%

ICM/Scotsman - Apr 1999


47%


44%

YouGov/SNP – Apr 2006


44%


42%

YouGov/S. Times – Sep 2006


46%


39%

ICM/Scotsman – Oct 2006


51%


39%

YouGov/SNP – Nov 2006


45%


41%

ICM/Telegraph – Nov 2006


52%


35%

ICM/Daily Mail - Jan 2007


51%


36%

ICM/Scotsman - Feb 2007


46%


44%

S3/TNS – Apr 2008


41%


40%







2. The questions asked in the polls ranged through the following:


* Would you approve or disapprove of Scotland becoming an independent country?


* Do you support or oppose Scotland becoming a country independent from the rest of the United Kingdom?



* If there were a referendum tomorrow on whether Scotland should become an independent country, separate from the rest of the United Kingdom, how would you be inclined to vote - in favour of Scotland being an independent country or against Scotland becoming an independent country?



* In a referendum for independence for Scotland, how would you vote?



* Should Scotland become an independent country?



* The Scottish government should negotiate a settlement with the government of the United Kingdom so that Scotland becomes an independent state"


* In a referendum, would you vote for independence for Scotland?

* Would Scotland be better off as an independent state?


3. The latest TNS System Three poll (which was conducted from 28 January to 3 February) showed how support for independence was increasing. It asks the independence question using the wording in the Scottish Government's National Conversation White Paper.

Agree that Scotland should negotiate independence:

August 2007

Yes: 35 per cent
No: 50 per cent


November 2008

Yes: 35 per cent
No: 43 per cent


February 2009

Yes: 38 per cent
No: 40 per cent

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